From the Left · Watch · October 21, 2026
Oct 22 · New national polls show Democrats ahead as early voting surges
CNN: The odds: national polling
Grade B (82/100). Data segment on new generic-ballot polls, how well the measure has predicted past midterms, and Senate prediction markets
Lehrer score 82/100 (−18 omission: no Republican-leaning poll or skeptic of the polling is presented). Fixed scale: 90+ A, 80s B, 70s C, 60s D, under 60 F → B.
no Republican-leaning poll or skeptic of the polling is presented
Splits: Data segment on new generic-ballot polls, how well the measure has predicted past midterms, and Senate prediction markets
- Broken. Rule: omission (no Republican-leaning poll or skeptic of the polling is presented)
Same story: Breaking Points, The Ben Shapiro Show