David Sacks is right on 58% of graded predictions on The Country's pundit scorecard: 3 correct, 1 partial and 2 wrong on 6 graded calls (a Partial counts as half a point), No. 5 of 13 ranked pundits. Listed in the Right column.
Source“But at the end of the day, I expect something will pass. Pockets don’t line themselves.”
Congress passes the stalled ~$61 billion Ukraine aid package.
What happened: Signed into law Apr 24, 2024 as Public Law 118-50, Division B: Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (GovInfo).
Outcome evidenceSource“the Biden administration’s bet was that the counteroffensive would roll back Russian territorial gains, cut the land bridge to Crimea, and force Russia to the negotiating table. That is almost certainly not going to happen.”
Ukraine's 2023 counteroffensive fails to cut Russia's land bridge to Crimea or force Russia to negotiate.
What happened: The counteroffensive stalled without reaching the Sea of Azov; Zelenskyy told AP on Dec 1, 2023 'we did not achieve the desired results' (CBS News/AP); Reuters, Dec 21, 2023: 'Four factors that stalled Ukraine's counteroffensive'.
Outcome evidenceSource“Actually it is Democrats’ fault that Republicans are going to sweep the midterms.”
Republicans win both the House and the Senate in the 2022 midterms.
What happened: Republicans won the House 222-213 but Democrats kept the Senate majority in the 118th Congress (history.house.gov; senate.gov party divisions).
Outcome evidenceSource“this is what we’ll hear from Biden at the State of the Union in 3 weeks: Democrats aren’t the party of endless Covid restrictions; they’re the party leading the country back to normalcy.”
Biden's Mar 1, 2022 State of the Union pitches a return to normal from Covid restrictions.
What happened: Biden's Mar 1, 2022 State of the Union said 'we are moving forward safely, back to more normal routines' and 'COVID-19 need no longer control our lives' (PBS NewsHour full text).
Outcome evidenceSource“by 2024 (if not the 2022 midterms), Kamala Harris will be emphasizing her credentials as a “tough on crime” former prosecutor.”
By 2024 Kamala Harris is campaigning on her record as a tough former prosecutor.
What happened: In July 2024 Harris opened her campaign casting herself 'as a tough prosecutor with a winning record' and contrasting it with Trump's felony convictions (ABC News, Jul 23, 2024).
Outcome evidenceSource“this is my biggest prediction for 2021: Gavin Newsom, the consummate insider, will be recalled.”
Gavin Newsom is recalled as California governor in 2021.
What happened: Newsom survived the Sep 14, 2021 recall: No 7,944,092 (61.9%), Yes 4,894,473 (38.1%) (California Secretary of State, Statement of Vote summary).
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