Source“My prediction: Spanberger by double digits.”
Spanberger wins the Nov 4, 2025 Virginia governor race by 10 points or more.
What happened: Certified results: Spanberger 1,976,857, Earle-Sears 1,449,586 (57.6% to 42.2%, about 15.4 points), certified by the Virginia Department of Elections (Cville Right Now, Dec 2, 2025; official results at enr.elections.virginia.gov).
Outcome evidence