The Country

How accurate is Tim Pool? 17% on 6 graded calls

Tim Pool is right on 17% of graded predictions on The Country's pundit scorecard: 1 correct and 5 wrong on 6 graded calls, No. 13 of 13 ranked pundits. Listed in the Right column.

Pundit scorecard

WRONG

“They are calling for Biden to STEP DOWN So Kamala can be the first female president for a couple months I bet it happens and she pardons Hunter”

Source

Biden resigns early so Harris becomes president before Jan 20, 2025 (and she pardons Hunter Biden).

What happened: Biden served his full term (President 2021-2025) and pardoned Hunter himself on Dec 1, 2024 (American Presidency Project, UCSB); Harris never became president.

Outcome evidence
NOT GRADED

“My prediction is a tie followed by Trump winning a contingent election in the house”

Source

The 2024 Electoral College ends in a 269-269 tie and the House picks Trump.

What happened: No tie: Trump won the Electoral College 312-226 (FEC official 2024 results), so no contingent election was held.

Outcome evidence

Not graded: joke premise.

WRONG

“Biden will drop out soon”

Source

Biden quits the 2024 race soon, before the primaries, so party leaders can appoint a nominee without a primary.

What happened: Biden stayed in through the primaries and withdrew on Jul 21, 2024, more than six months later (his letter, American Presidency Project, UCSB).

Outcome evidence
WRONG

“Joe Biden will be impeached for obstructing the investigation into hunter”

Source

The House impeaches Biden (implied window: his term, ending Jan 20, 2025).

What happened: Biden was never impeached. The House Historian's list of everyone impeached by the House has no Biden entry; the last entries are Trump (2019, 2021) and Mayorkas (Feb 13, 2024).

Outcome evidence
CORRECT

“Republicans will lose in Georgia because they don't actually care about the will of their voters”

Source

Republicans lose the Jan 5, 2021 Georgia Senate runoffs.

What happened: Ossoff beat Perdue 50.61% to 49.39%, and Warnock beat Loeffler 51.04% to 48.96% (Georgia Secretary of State).

Outcome evidence
WRONG

“Take note America This is why Trump will win in 2020”

Source

Trump wins the 2020 election.

What happened: Biden won 306-232 (FEC official results).

Outcome evidence
WRONG

“Here's my prediction DNC Cheats, steals it from Bernie with underhanded tactics, Kamala Harris wins dem nomination.”

Source

Kamala Harris wins the 2020 Democratic nomination.

What happened: Harris withdrew Dec 3, 2019; Biden was the 2020 Democratic nominee (FEC official results).

Outcome evidence

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