Erick Erickson has 2 graded calls on The Country's pundit scorecard so far, 1 correct and 1 wrong, and is listed in the Right column. That is short of the 5 graded calls needed for an accuracy score, so Erick Erickson is not ranked yet.
Source“Gaetz won't get the votes in the Senate and the oppo dump will end his 2026 gubernatorial bid.”
Matt Gaetz is not confirmed by the Senate as attorney general.
What happened: Gaetz withdrew on Nov 21, 2024 before any Senate vote. Reuters: 'Trump attorney general pick Matt Gaetz drops bid in face of Senate opposition'; CNN: he withdrew 'after Trump told him he didn't have the votes in the Senate'.
Outcome evidenceNot graded: obvious call.
Source“I think Ann Selzer and The NY Times Sienna poll do show a late shift to Harris, but I think Trump is going to win.”
Donald Trump wins the Nov 5, 2024 presidential election.
What happened: Trump won: 312-226 in the Electoral College and the national popular vote 77,302,580 (49.8%) to 75,017,613 (48.3%) (FEC official 2024 results; National Archives).
Outcome evidenceNot graded: obvious call.
Source“Trump isn’t going to win this immunity case.”
Trump loses Trump v. United States (his presidential-immunity appeal) at the Supreme Court.
What happened: Trump won: on Jul 1, 2024 the Court held a former president has absolute immunity for acts within his core constitutional authority and at least presumptive immunity for other official acts, and vacated the D.C. Circuit judgment that had denied immunity (Trump v. United States, No. 23-939; Reuters: 'US Supreme Court rules Trump has broad immunity from prosecution').
Outcome evidenceSource“The Colorado case will be reversed after generating a ton of cash for Trump and a new energizing grievance for his supporters.”
The US Supreme Court reverses the Colorado Supreme Court ruling that kept Trump off the 2024 ballot.
What happened: Reversed unanimously on Mar 4, 2024 (Trump v. Anderson, No. 23-719).
Outcome evidenceNot graded: obvious call.
Source“I actually think DeSantis, more likely than not, will win Iowa.”
DeSantis wins the Jan 15, 2024 Iowa caucuses.
Source“It is why Walker will win in Georgia.”
Herschel Walker wins the 2022 Georgia US Senate race (including the Dec 6 runoff).
What happened: Warnock won the Dec 6, 2022 runoff 1,820,633 (51.4%) to 1,721,244 (48.6%) (AP; Georgia Secretary of State certified).
Outcome evidenceNot graded: obvious call.
Source“It is why Oz will win in PA.”
Mehmet Oz wins the 2022 Pennsylvania US Senate race.
What happened: Fetterman won, 51.2% to 46.3% (AP race call; Pennsylvania Department of State certified results).
Outcome evidenceNot graded: obvious call.
Source“I think the gun deal all but guarantees Thune will replace McConnell as GOP leader in the Senate.”
John Thune (not Cornyn or another senator) is the next Senate Republican leader after Mitch McConnell.
What happened: Senate Republicans elected Thune leader on Nov 13, 2024 by secret ballot, beating John Cornyn 29-24 in the second round (AP; Reuters).
Outcome evidenceSource“I am pretty convinced at this point that Dr. Oz is not going to win in PA and the pro-Trump electorate there is less than pleased with that endorsement.”
Oz does not win in Pennsylvania (primary or general not stated).
What happened: Oz won the May 17, 2022 GOP primary (after a recount) and lost the Nov 8 general to Fetterman (AP).
Outcome evidenceNot graded: ambiguous.
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